I mentioned in the previous post that I was considering trying out an email subscription model for some of my content. I got some takers on the idea -- thanks to all of you! -- and so I composed and sent out my first email today. To give you an idea of what would go into the email subscriptions, I am going to post the majority of that email here -- minus the specific mention of coins as well as my "What to Mine" table showing the calculations and the analysis. If you'd like the full email, just drop me a note and a donation ($5 or equivalent in any of the major cryptocurrencies for now will do -- if needed, I can get you an address for any other coins you might want to donate).
Welcome to my first official subscriber email on what to mine. Disclaimer: this
first email might be (okay, *is*) a bit longer, and I'm trying to
decide on a good subscription rate. I said "donate $5 or more and
I'll tell you what I'm mining", but I'd like to hear your thoughts
on this. Should I have individual, weekly, and monthly rates? (I
don't want to do yearly, as I can't guarantee I'll be doing this
consistently for that long!) If so, how often should I update, and
what should the rate be? I'm sort of thinking three updates per week
might be a good start -- Monday, Wednesday, and Friday. I could do
$5 for a single update, $10 for the week, or $30 for the month.
Does that sound like a reasonable structure, or should I charge
more/less? If you would, please email me back with your thoughts.
Also, there's a lot of other "stuff" to discuss as I kick things
off; I'll add some of this to the blog, minus the "what
to mine" table and lists of specific coins. And with that out of the
way....
I already emailed a few people earlier this past weekend, but of course prices,
difficulty, etc. change regularly. The short summary is that right
now, the most profitable coins tend to be those that are not using
standard scrypt. This is hardly surprising, considering there are
well over 100 "major" (i.e. on an exchange) scrypt coins now. The
trick is figuring out which of the alt-coins are going to be worth
something in the long run. My thoughts are that for a coin to truly
succeed, it needs to be something different/new/useful. LTC is the
first scrypt coin, and it's still doing okay (though clearly having
trouble of late). VTC, MAX, DRK, XPM, QRK, etc. were all really
great to mine early and hold. Sadly, I'm not even sure which coin
was the very first scrypt-jane offering (YAC?), but hopefully you
get the point. Don't underestimate the power of marketing either --
a "dumb" coin with the right marketing hook can take off in a big
way; it might die out just as quickly, but the momentum of belief
can be slow to change (DOGE, AUR, and other coins fall into this
category).
Now, as I see it there are a couple ways of going about mining. One
is to look for the truly special coins and hop on those and hold for
a while -- it's what I've done with VTC, DRK, and to a lesser extent
MRC. Truth be told, I don't particularly care for the rewards
structure of MRC, but so far it's doing okay; the coming month will
or so will be telling as the rewards will start to decline in a few
days, and price will either stay where it is and/or stagnate, or the "decreasing value" of mining will start to increase the price. It
really can't go much lower, as it's currently trading at 3-4
satoshi, but we'll see. If it goes down, I "lose" potentially half
to three quarters of my MRC value, but if it goes up to 10-20
satoshi (which is my hope!) I could realize some nice profits. The
other option is to simply try to mine any new coin, hold a chunk of
them for a while to see if price goes up, and you'll get some
winners and a lot of losers -- or you could try to cash out as fast
as possible if the coin is listed on an exchange, and potentially
make some decent returns. This requires a lot more time and
dedication, so most of us don't go that route I think.
I suppose I should quickly put in here that a "satoshi" is termed as
0.00000001 coins. The code for Bitcoin originally defined that as
the minimum value you could trade, and if BTC prices go up into the
tens of thousands or more perhaps they will one day update the
client to allow for smaller transactions, but for now that's where
we are. All of the other coins have stayed with the same core code
structure in this area, so the smallest amount you can buy/sell of
any coin is one satoshi.
Going with the above, that means any currency traded against BTC has
a minimum value of 1 satoshi BTC (around $0.0007). That's not much,
but with coins like DOGE, MRC, FLAP, etc. issuing billions of coins,
and mining bringing in millions of coins per day, that quickly adds
up. I have to admit that I'm still shocked that DOGE ever reached 50
satoshi, let alone 280 (or the current 170 or so satoshi). If any of
the "billions minted" coins I'm holding hit even 50 satoshi, I'm
looking at potential gains of 20X or more. But I think DOGE is a bit
of an anomaly, so I wouldn't count on a repeat performance from most
clones. If you're interested in trying "day trading" of
cryptocurrencies, you could also try to do the old buy low/sell high
approach on some of these low-value coins -- if you can buy at one
satoshi and sell at two, you double your coins every time the
buy/sell cycle repeats. However, the exchanges fill bids/asks in a
first come, first filled basis, so as an example if there are
already bids for a billion CAGE at 1 satoshi and another billion
asks for CAGE at 2 satoshi, you could be waiting a long time
for your orders to get filled. (And of course some coins trade
against LTC or DOGE as a way to overcome the 1 satoshi minimum
issue.) And if a coin ever reaches the point where no one is interested in paying even 1 satoshi per coin, you're left holding the bag.
With all of the above out of the way, let me note that I'm only one
guy, and I already have a full-time job, so I can't hope to track
everything. I've wondered if perhaps I could build a large enough
readership/subscriber base that I could actually make this a
full-time job and perhaps invest more time/effort into some programming and such to
automate pulling data for more coins, but that's a big pile of work
to tackle right now. In short, I'm going to tell you what coins I
*have* tracked in a second, but there's a very real (and even very
likely) chance that I've missed something good. If you know of
something better and want to give me a heads up, that would be
great, and if if I agree I'll even give you a free week of email
updates, but if you want to keep your "trade secrets" I won't blame
you. :-)
So what am I tracking (and in some cases, mining)? Basically I have
a bunch of coins where I've downloaded the wallets, synced up, and
can reasonably easily check difficulty and pricing. That in turn
let's me determine profitability. It's like Coinwarz, except I track most things manually -- and I can also track the newest coins. It is a
bit of a pain, and actually mining on any of the coins requires
registering on a new pool (unless solo mining is viable, which is
typically only in the first hours of a coin's life), creating
workers, editing your miner configuration files, etc. Again, it's a
pain, so I usually only switch what I mine daily, and there are
quite a few coins where I downloaded the client and perhaps even
registered with a pool and did some mining before I decided, "Nope
-- this coin is going nowhere." Here's the current list, with
exchange prices, difficulty, and reward values current as of
(around) 11:00AM PST, March 3...
[SNIP!]
The missing content includes a table of the coins I'm tracking (and felt were worth including) along with several more paragraphs of analysis. And as a final comment, if you're buying any hardware and Amazon has
prices that you like (and you're in the US), shop
there via my Amazon Affiliate Links and let me know what you
ordered (and when) via email. For every $100 ordered via Amazon,
I'll credit you with the equivalent of $5 towards these email
updates -- so $200 ordered gets you a week at my current pricing,
$600 would get you a month, etc. You can also shop via my Newegg
Affiliate Link, but the commission there is so low (1%) that I
can only give $5 credit per $400 ordered. Then again, that's just
one R9 280X so it can't hurt. :-)
Rest assured, the email updates won't replace me writing on this blog. There are still many other topics I want to tackle, when I get the time. Hopefully that will be later this week....